Objective: To determine the impact of mandating influenza vaccination for HCWs on the number of HCWs who report to work with influenza-like illness (ILI) and compare that to the strategy of discouraging presenteeism (reporting to work while ill).
Methods: This analysis utilizes the following assumptions: (1) a hypothetical hospital has 5,000 HCWs; (2) a nonpandemic influenza season in which 7% of the population (including HCWs) develop ILI, of which 7% is due to influenza; (3) baseline HCW influenza vaccination rate is 70%; (4) the efficacy of influenza vaccine is 75%; (5) baseline HCW presenteeism is 70%; (6) mandating vaccinination results in 98% of HCWs vaccinated. The outcome is the number of HCWs with ILI at work. Two alternative strategies will be compared to the status quo: mandating influenza vaccine vs maintaining influenza vaccine compliance at 70% while achieving an absolute 5% reduction in presenteeism.
Results:
Baseline |
Mandatory vaccination |
Reduced presenteeism |
|
Vaccinated (%) | 70 | 98 | 70 |
Presenteeism (%) | 70 | 70 | 65 |
Total HCWs | 5,000 | 5,000 | 5,000 |
Vaccinated HCWs | 3,500 | 4,900 | 3,500 |
Unvaccinated HCWs | 1,500 | 100 | 1,500 |
HCWs with non-flu ILI | 325 | 325 | 325 |
Unvaccinated with flu | 8 | 1 | 8 |
Vaccinated with flu | 4 | 6 | 4 |
Total HCWs with ILI | 337 | 332 | 337 |
HCWs at work with ILI |
236 | 232 | 219 |
A modest absolute (5%) reduction in presenteeism results in fewer HCWs with ILI at work than mandating influenza vaccination. In fact, a 1% absolute reduction in presenteeism is equivalent to mandating vaccination (i.e., in a workforce of 5,000, 70% of whom are vaccinated, having 4 HCWs with ILI stay at home has the same impact as mandating influenza vaccination).
Conclusions: SHEA’s policy calling for firing HCWs who refuse influenza vaccination is short-sighted, punitive, and less effective than alternative, horizontal (nonpathogen-specific) strategies with less potential for adverse unintended consequences.